EURUSD rises back to old swing area

Swing area between 1.21435 and 1.21496

As yields moved lower and stocks increased, the flow of funds has moved back out of the USD.  

Swing area between 1.21435 and 1.21496_

In the EURUSD, the price also had technical disappointment on the break of the 200 hour moving average at 1.21168. The prices now moved back above its 100 hour moving average as well at 1.21331. 

The next target comes at the old swing area between 1.21435 and 1.21496. The high price just reached 1.2144.

Admittedly, markets are for the 2nd day in a row getting comfort from Powell’s testimony. Brainard’s comments were also in line with his and suggest no change in rates and also a comfort with the inflation expectations not running quickly to the upside.

Does that translate into a lower dollar/higher EURUSD?  Perhaps.  The price action will help tell the story.  Right now the price is back above the moving averages which is more bullish, and testing a swing area up to 1.29496 (call it 1.2150).  Sellers could lean against that level and put a ceiling on the pair just as easily as crack above and go for the highs.  This swing areas in the last line of defense for the sellers. If they hold, the technical picture keeps the sellers in play.  Move above and the picture does not look encouraging for the sellers.  
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By Jonathan Prop

Jonathan Prop is an independent financial advisor. He has been working in finance for the last 20 years. After retiring early in his 40s, Jonathan decided to help others get to grip with financial markets, particularly his area of expertise - forex!

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